Before Ashton Kutcher ruined the word, getting “punked” was what happened in prison to guys who talk a lot of s#1t but are revealed to be ineffectual weaklings. The first thing that came to mind when I read about the NIE’s revelations about Iran’s nuclear program was, “dude, they just got punked.”
In fact, the effect of the NIE finding is acutely damaging to Iran’s aspirations to become a regional power. As a matter of fact, the NIE finding essentially recasts the balance of power in the Middle East. Remember that Israel has real nukes - not imaginary ones like Ahmadinejad. Pakistan also has nukes and it shares a border with Iran. Both Pakistan and Israel receive U.S. aid and have a lot to lose if Iran becomes the dominant player in the Middle East.
Iran’s new vulnerability isn’t just theoretical. Israel’s recent stealth bombing of quasi-military installations deep inside Syria clearly demonstrates their ability and desire to kick ass. Since Iran has been de-pantsed in front of the world, what’s to keep Israel from sending bombers to Iran? If Ahmadinejad threatens to wipe Israel off the map now the world will respond, “Yeah? With what?”
A lot of media reports have taken the naive angle that the NIE finding somehow undermines Bush’s foreign policy objective to isolate and subdue Iran. To the contrary, I think the NIE finding essentially hangs a big target on Iran’s back. Geopolitics is chess not checkers beotch! Just ask Alonzo Harris.
